The minute you begin to believe your own hypothesis, you're a dead duck as a scientist. I would freely admit that on global warming we have crossed the boundary from news reporting to advocacy. Skepticism is the highest of duties, and unverified belief the one unpardonable sin. We have to offer up scary scenarios about global warming Keith will do likewise. Can you also email Gene and get him to do the same?
Don Easterbrook | DeSmog
There is no reason to give them any data, in my opinion, and I think we do so at our own peril! The fact is that we can't account for the lack of warming at the moment and it is a travesty that we can't. We are nowhere close to knowing where energy is going or whether clouds are changing to make the planet brighter We are not close to balancing the energy budget. Kevin and I will keep them out [of the IPCC Report] somehow - even if we have to redefine what the "peer-review literature" is! If I were on the greenhouse deniers' side, I would.. Mike, the figure you sent is very deceptive [ Observations do not show rising temperatures throughout the tropical troposphere This is just downright dangerous.
The trick may be to decide on the main message and use that to guide what's included and what is left out [of the IPCC Reports]. What if climate change appears to be just mainly a multidecadal natural fluctuation? They'll kill us probably. Weighting the solar irradiance more strongly in the models, then much of the 19th to mid 20th century warming can be explained from the sun alone.
I am not convinced that the 'truth' is always worth reaching if it is at the cost of damaged personal relationships". Thomas J. This will reduce the cooling in Northern Hemisphere temperatures.
Evidence-Based Climate Science: Data opposing CO2 emissions as the primary source of global warming
Explaining the cooling with sulphates won't be quite as necessary. It is interesting to see the lower tropospheric warming minimum in the tropics in all three plots, which I cannot explain. I also got recently a paper from Rob which says 'London's UHI [Urban Heat Island effect] has indeed become more intense since the s especially during spring and summer'.
We found the [urban warming] effect is pretty big in the areas we analyzed.
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It will not be models or theory, but observation that will provide the answer to the question of how the climate will change in many decades time. There is no individual model that does well in all of the SST [sea surface temperature] and water vapor tests we've applied. So using the 20th century for tuning [the IPCC models] is just doing what some people have long suspected us of doing. Basic problem is that all models are wrong - not got enough middle and low level clouds. One way to cover yourself and all those working in AR5 would be to delete all emails at the end of the process.
Any work we have done in the past is done on the back of the research grants we get - and has to be well hidden. Very little research has ever been funded to search for natural mechanisms of warming Everyone in IPCC WG3 should be terminated and, if the institution is to continue, it should be re-structured from scratch. Why should I make the data available to you, when your aim is to try and find something wrong with it?
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Scientific consensus on climate change
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